Jer. 27 [The Message]
When we play chess, we sit down and consider how to move our pieces. It must be similar for the Lord. He looks at nations and people groups and does what He wants to with them. His decisions are based upon the obedience or disobedience of their constituents, their inhabitants, and too often the conduct of their leaders. It’s not really our place to try to figure why He does what He does. It’s our place to pray and live lives of obedience and worship.
God ALSO bases His moves on what He hears His people praying.
If my people which are called by My Name shall humble themselves, and pray, and seek My face, and turn from their wicked ways; then will I hear from heaven, and will forgive their sin, and will heal their land. [2 Chron. 7:14]